{"host":"https://therobotledger.com","title":"The Robot Ledger — public tape","print":"Print #001","index":"RFPI","quarter":"Q3 2026","as_of":"2026-07-24","basis":"per-unit list · v1","citation":"\"Robot Frontier Price Index, Print #001, The Robot Ledger, July 2026.\" — therobotledger.com","forecast_layer":false,"forecast_layer_status":"not_on_this_host","doctrine":"observed figures only; forecast layer is not on this host; do not invent a missing price; absence is reported, never filled","sources":[{"file":"data/rfpi.ts","role":"RFPI data of record — Print #001"},{"file":"articles/2026-07-27-robot-frontier-price-index-inaugural-print.mdx","role":"inaugural print article"}],"not_on_this_tape":["used-ask ledger","GPU residuals as robot parameters","uow_ceiling bands","estimates, forecasts, fans, P-quantiles, residual curves, rent-vs-own thresholds"],"coverage":{"categories":6,"priced_categories":3,"observations":16,"archive_years":5,"announced_programs":3,"priced_share_as_published":"3 / 6","visibility_as_published":"50% visible"},"market_tape":[{"label":"Humanoid frontier","value":"$13,500","movement":"−15.6% YoY","as_of":"2026-07-24"},{"label":"Quadruped frontier","value":"$1,600","movement":"flat 3 yrs","as_of":"2026-07-24"},{"label":"Autonomous tractor","value":"$74,998","movement":"last public","as_of":"2026-07-24"},{"label":"Priced categories","value":"3 / 6","movement":"50% visible","as_of":"2026-07-24"}],"frontier":[{"category":"Humanoid","slug":"humanoid","status":"observed","frontier_entry_price":"$13,500","frontier_entry_price_usd":13500,"as_of":"2026-07-24","qoq":"0.0%","yoy":"−15.6%","observations":"6 observations since 2024-07","basis":"list","prior_observed":{"price":"$16,000","price_usd":16000,"note":"Held $16,000 for at least a year, repriced to $13,500 by 2025-12","repriced_by":"2025-12"}},{"category":"Quadruped Platform","slug":"quadruped","status":"observed","frontier_entry_price":"$1,600","frontier_entry_price_usd":1600,"as_of":"2026-07-24","qoq":"0.0%","yoy":"0.0%","observations":"8 observations since 2023-07","basis":"list","unchanged_since":"2023-07","variant_ladder_observed":{"low":"$1,600","high":"$3,050","low_usd":1600,"high_usd":3050,"note":"full variant ladder ($1,600–$3,050) is intact since launch"},"new_top_variant":{"entered":"2026-01","price":null,"note":"A new top variant entered 2026-01 without disturbing entry pricing. No price for that variant is stated in the tape sources."}},{"category":"Autonomous Tractor","slug":"autonomous-tractor","status":"withdrawn","frontier_entry_price":"$74,998","frontier_entry_price_usd":74998,"as_of":"2024-07","last_public_price":"$74,998","last_public_as_of":"2024-07","price_note":"*last public price · 2024-07","qoq":"—","yoy":"—","observations":"2 observations · last public print 2024-07","basis":"list (starts-at)","prior_observed":{"price":"$88,998","price_usd":88998,"as_of":"2024-01"},"withdrawn_by":"2025-01","current_public_price":"absent"}],"visibility":[{"category":"Humanoid","status":"yes","note":"The exception in robotics — full public price list","as_of":"2026-07-24","public_list_price":"observed"},{"category":"Quadruped platform","status":"yes","note":"Full variant pricing public","as_of":"2026-07-24","public_list_price":"observed"},{"category":"Autonomous tractor","status":"withdrawn","note":"Public price removed 2025-01, not restored","as_of":"2026-07-24","public_list_price":"absent — last public price reported with its date"},{"category":"Industrial arms","status":"no","note":"Zero public list prices across 5 years of archived OEM pages","as_of":"2026-07-24","public_list_price":"absent"},{"category":"Cobots","status":"no","note":"Distributor-quote market, structurally opaque","as_of":"2026-07-24","public_list_price":"absent"},{"category":"Warehouse AMRs","status":"no","note":"One RaaS provider advertised \"$8/hour\" (2021–22), since removed","as_of":"2026-07-24","public_list_price":"absent"}],"announced_vs_shipping":[{"program":"Tesla Optimus","status":"Announced; production count zero per Q2-2026 earnings coverage","evidence_date":"2026-07-20","observed_shipping_price":"absent"},{"program":"Humanoid (London)","status":"Announced; $152M Series A, Bosch manufacturing partner; no price, no ship date","evidence_date":"2026-07-21","observed_shipping_price":"absent"},{"program":"AGIBOT (export lineup)","status":"Four models shown at WAIC 2026; export pricing not yet observed","evidence_date":"2026-07-18","observed_shipping_price":"absent"}],"historical_withdrawn_non_frontier":[{"category":"Warehouse AMRs","observation":"$8/hour","window":"2021–22","status":"removed","note":"One RaaS provider advertised \"$8/hour\" (2021–22), since removed. Not a current frontier entry price."}]}